Good day everyone, this is Ed Maguire Insights Partner at Momenta Partners with another episode of our Edge Podcast. Today we have a special guest with Syed Z
Thank you very much
What we’d like to do to dive right into the conversation is, to get a sense of what’s shaped your view of the Internet of Things, and share a little bit of your background and what has brought you to here?
I don’t want to make this a sales pitch but let me explain a little bit about what Aeris does, and why we have achieved what I will call a very excellent success in the market of IoT, and prior to that M2M. We’ve been in existence for a number of years, and frankly before the
So we came up with an approach which
That I believe was a very early way of saying that data from these devices, remote control of these devices in a matter of seconds had tremendous implications, in the alarm and security business for example, as well as in the trucking industry, the early trailer-tracking industry for the customers that we had at the time. When the term ‘machine to machine’ was coined, and it’s not original to us
The gentleman who came up with the term ‘Internet of Things’, which I mention in my book by the way, so you can download a copy of that from our website, he came up with the term and I think that has become a very nice way of capturing the consumer imagination; ‘Ah, I get it!’. We have the public Internet for websites, for customers to communicate with each other, for social media, for companies to deliver the message of what they’re up to, what they do. What we’re talking about is a network of devices, things, smart things, capabilities that can now be using the internet to provide a function for general benefit of mankind, (I’m exaggerating the point, only a little bit frankly) which allows people to take advantage of information that they might not have had access to before.
That was wonderful. I think that revelation if you will, the imagination that has been captured in that
We have a gentleman in our company who is also focused on the social good of the IoT, particularly in third-world developing countries, and I’m
That’s tremendous, and I think we’re very much of the same mind in terms of our view of the potential of connecting the physical world.
Let’s go back to the origins of Aeris, and some of the initial technology challenges that needed to be solved, and how did your own personal background lead you to identify where there was a market need, and ultimately that you’d focus on the technologies and business problems which were at the origins of Aeris?
When we first got started,
Well, we had to run around sticking together the business agreements from a number of different cellular carriers of the time, there were over 35 to 40 of them in the United States that we had to light up in a consistent way, meaning that we’d go to them and say, ‘Hey folks, this is a business application, it’s not a person and a human and a voice minute, we want to send data in the
Please, yes, I’d love to hear.
Bell Atlantic NYNEX, the CTO was Dick Lynch, and we went to him and said, ‘This is what we want to do’, we were
What were some of the initial challenges that you faced in trying to realize this vision of a consistent
Absolutely. For example, one of the big differences between us and the traditional cellular smartphone and cell phone industry, is the customer relationship, the relationship between us and our customers is not a one-to-one, or semi one-to-one relationship with an individual who has a smartphone in the consumer space, or even a small family with 3, 4, 5 up to 10, or fewer devices that they interact with. We early-on recognized that we expected to add hundreds, thousands, hundreds of thousands of devices into our network for a single customer who had an application that they wanted to deploy nationwide. So, the relationship had to be very different, you sold the customer on the benefits, enterprise customers on the benefits of what this data could do for them. Then you had to put the systems in place for us to deal with hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands of devices at a time, for activation, for provisioning.
We had an early customer for example who was doing on the floor factory testing of their product, it took them about five minutes to get the product tested after manufacturing, they said, ‘We want to do
Another example of that is, we had a scenario where a customer came to us with a seasonal application, notably water irrigation monitoring where the systems get turned off for months at a time in the winter when they’re not being used, then they activate in the early springtime when they start being used again. They came to us and said, ‘You know, we cannot afford to go out and touch these devices, change the numbers and reactivate them. Can you make a system for us
We put together a system which they could through an API call, or using our portal deactivate the device, and then in March when the device was turned back on again because they applied power, it would automatically convert from a suspended state, where it would retain its number, to an active state and started working, just completely normally and without any hiccups whatsoever. That was another thing we pioneered is the ability to suspend the device, the concept of being able to turn off a device for months at a time, and not lose the ability to reactivate that device when it came online later-on. So, there were all kinds of neat little interesting things that we were able to do.
By the way, the reason we were able to do this, and I want to emphasize that, is that in the smartphone arena where people typically pay $50-$100 on average, revenue per month, the expectation of service cost is a little different than when you have an IoT device where you’re paying a lot less than that, and it isn’t just small percentages, it’s a lot less than that, the average revenue per unit for an internal IoT device is tiny. So, can you operate efficiently, effectively, with good profit when you’re generating revenue that is tiny compared to a
The minute a customer has to call us, and we have to provide human support for either one device, or ten devices, or a market, it adds to the cost burden, so we try to automate as much as possible.
As you look at the advances in technology which have certainly made the cost of sensors and processors a lot cheaper, essentially the ability to generate data, what stands out to you as some of the more impactful developments in technology, which have really helped your customers begin to realize their vision much more effectively, and help you as a technology provider deliver more robust solutions?
I think if you look at the way
I think the most interesting impact that I see has happened in the past between the two to ten years, and going forward, is the development of new sensors, particularly in the healthcare industry. The fact that we now have devices that are going to allow data to be gathered from the human body, using embedded sensors, skin implants, or even going beyond that,
So, I think the revolution in the sensor markets particularly for healthcare, is going to be the next big thing if you will for IoT in general. Healthcare
That’s
Definitely. I like to separate healthcare IoT applications into two classes, one is what I call the mission-critical applications, and then there are the non-mission critical applications. What’s the difference?
So, if you look at the non-mission critical scenarios where you might have a person who is doing a Fitbit kind of solution, where it’s a healthcare fitness tracking monitor, or
There was an interesting example of a new start-up, which I’m hoping they will be successful down the road, which was looking at diabetic patients, particularly in the low income community, because one of the biggest problems with people who don’t have enough money to worry about food, is that they don’t get their quality of food as well as they ought to, they go into the fast food places because it’s easy, and you’re seeing a massive change in their blood sugars because they aren’t watching what they eat. Well, they were going to try and tackle that by taking the blood sugar data, their weight, their blood pressure, sending it to a healthcare management system, not necessarily a doctor, who would monitor that and then work with the local cities and counties to provide food stamps that would only allow them to go and buy healthy food, so that they could be in control of their diabetic scenario, rather than ending up in an emergency room scenario, and placing themselves at risk for
That I think is a wonderful example of where information gathered from a remote device could play a role in managing healthcare and managing the betterment of the person who is being measured in that case. It’s amazing to see what possibilities exist, we’re limited by the imagination of the ideas that we can come up with, and I don’t mean ‘we’ as at Aeris, I mean the people who are implementing these kinds of solutions.
Those are amazing use cases. I do think what’s been so remarkable about the vision that’s evolved around what we call Connected Industry, or Commercial Industrial Internet of Things is
I did have a question about the market itself, it has gone through some ups and downs as it were, and I’d love to get your view on the sentiment in the market. If we go back about four or five years ago, when Industrial IoT hype was at its peak, and of course you as a true veteran, an OG of M2M, you’ve seen these same technologies when they were called something different. There was a lot of hype, a lot of ebullient forecasts of exponential growth, and then I think the reality was a lot more deliberate than that. I’d love to get your perspective on what the impact of that initial hype cycle about five years ago was, and where we are today, how things have panned out relative to some of the most aggressive expectations, and how the actual market itself has evolved.
One of the comments I might make about the aggressive hype has been indeed the fact that people expected way too much, too soon, too quickly, and forgot about the real-world experience of what it takes to get an IoT application done. If you’ll pardon my using a very simplistic analogy, let me give you an example of what it takes to develop and deploy an IoT application, it has nothing to do with technology, it’s purely a business case issue.
Why do companies exist? I’m going to be very simplistic about this. Companies exist either to increase their revenue, or to lower their cost; whatever they can do to make one of those two things happen, or both which increases the delta is their profit. That’s how they make business happen, that’s how they operate, that’s how they grow in the future. Well, IoT solutions in general will help those if you can prove it, so once you figure it out, where is the return on that investment for an IoT application, whether its internal cost reduction, or increasing revenue because you now have product which you’re selling to the market, you’re going to be
There are other drivers, that was a very-very grossly simplistic view and I’ll be the first to admit that. Regulations, whether it’s an industry
You can go on from there, you can take other examples where that kind of benefit is a big deal. If 15, 20, 30-years ago, flights and airplanes were frequently delayed because of a ‘mechanical problem’.
The mean time to prepare for an aircraft has gone down so dramatically that I have yet to hear in the past year or two, anybody, any airline, and I take a lot of flights, tell me we have been delayed due to a mechanical problem on that plane. That’s the kind of revolution of efficiency, and better use of assets that IoT is enabling, all the time.
Another quick example I will point to. About 15-20 years ago, we were in a building where the HVAC system on the roof of the building failed, and the offices got warm, but we didn’t know about that until they got really warm. Then the guy came out and figured out, ‘Oh, you know what? This compressor fan failed, so the compressor shut down’, now he had to go back to get the fan, then come back to fix it. Well, a $20 part resulted in a compressor failure that was well over $5,000 for that commercial HVAC system. What if that fan had been reported by the system saying, ‘Hey, this fan is no longer on, the compressor is going to fail. Come out and fix it before the $5,000-part fails’. That’s the kind of things that IoT is solving for people today.
They are some very powerful examples of the kind of changes we’re seeing. What are some of the notable characteristics of projects that have been able to succeed early-on? There’s a lot of discussion about the prolonged amount of time that it takes for proof of concepts to be successful, and I would say the more measured pace of industrial companies, particularly in rolling out your connected technology solutions. Are there some examples of companies that have been particularly successful with pilots? And then along the way being able to establish best
Yes, that’s a darn good question, and I must admit that I’m not necessarily the right person to answer that question. I have seen the reports that say 60-70 percent of IoT applications remain stuck in the proof of concept phase for a
There are some difficulties with that statement I just made, IoT projects do take time, it’s not an industry where you can buy an off the shelf solution all the time. Many applications, particularly at scale are going to require design efforts to reduce the costs, reduce the size, reduce the power they might be using etc., and it takes time. What often tends to happen in the scale of things we do today is, that the people associated with the project are pulled off elsewhere, maybe the project leader has gone onto a different company, etc. etc. So, you end up with a scenario where things stagnate, not because of the lack of success of a project, but sometimes due to external factors such as personnel being moved, projects being changed, the focus of the company might change, that’s rare but things like that happen.
What has worked well for us and usually helps any of our customers is, there’s an internal senior champion who says, ‘A-ha, this is going to help us figure out the ROI, figure out the solution, and make it happen’, then gets that pushed through in the ways that a typical CIO
You’ve mentioned your focus has evolved from managing connectivity across multiple networks into analytics, I’d love to get your perspective on some of what’s been driving that, and how this has changed the way you interact with customers. What have been some of the inputs and some of the considerations that you look at, as you start to incorporate advanced data analytics
The reason we moved from connectivity… beyond connectivity is the word I would say, not ‘moved from’, beyond connectivity to
So, we recognized this about 10-12 year ago, around 2006-2007, we said connectivity is great, it is becoming easy relatively speaking, to do. We can manage the devices, we know how to get the data from point A to point B, what the heck can we do to help our customers analyze that data. It was driven by a customer who came to us and said, ‘I’ve created a solution, I’ve got a $1 million data center that I’ve put together, and now I have a problem with geographical fault tolerance’. Sure enough, they had a data center in one place, and they wanted to have the ability to put up another data center in another place, and they said it was going to be cost-prohibitive for them to do
We said, ‘Great, let us take on the burden of managing that for you’, because our network solution, our infrastructure, our deployment of the products and services we sell, required us to have multiple
So, we put in all those systems, all those what I would call a streaming data analysis, not necessarily predictive data, analysis where we were starting to go into the content on behalf of the customer. We never go into the data without the customer being aware of what it is, and we do it on their behalf. We help them with fault-tolerant data solutions which allows them to say, ‘Somebody is managing my IoT data for me. I will deal with the application, the sale, the reporting of the data that matters, the information that matters, and then use that in my business’. That’s what we started out doing about 10-12 years ago, and we evolved it over the years, to where we now have cloud analytic solutions, and data storage solutions, data analysis solutions, where frankly we have some customers who don’t even use our connectivity services, they come in because we understand IoT data, and how to analyse it.
Have you any views on the potentially transformative, or
Not enough yet, let’s put it that way. I think that’s still a very… I don’t want to use the word ‘research.’, but that’s still an area of expertise that the value of that has still to be proven for our customers. Which is not to say that there isn’t value there, I really do believe there is, the ability to respond in an automated way, which is where machine learning could come into play so that humans don’t have to be involved in making some of those business intelligence decisions, and the actions
That’s an interesting answer
That’s a very good question. To me, IoT scale, if we’re going to achieve those billions of units, then we need to be able to put the processes and systems in place to be able to grow at scale, deal with the data at scale, in ways that we’ve never imagined before, for the IoT world, let alone all the data we generate elsewhere. I’m about to use a phrase that is not original to me, I wish I knew who had done it, I wish I could take claim to it, we are starting to get to the point where we are creating data museums, and that’s a phrase that I love; meaning that we gather data and we stick it somewhere, where the value of that data erodes over time, sometimes to the point where its meaningless.
An alarm company once told me that they wanted us to make sure we had perfect fault tolerance, which is tough to do, because the value of an alarm five hours after the event has taken place in a residential or business alarm system, is
I think we need to learn that, those things need to be managed a lot better, we are in a world where somehow gathering data is more important than looking at it, and I wish people would get away from that thinking, and look at relevant data, look at analyzing that data, and taking the actions necessary to deal with the outcome of why we gather the data in the first place.
I think that’s a great point, it really does cut to the value, the business value, and the reason for collecting data, so it does have to deliver, there has to be meaning behind it.
Looking forward, as you look at the market evolving over the next decade, what are you optimistic about, and are there some concerns that continue to linger?
One of the things that always is a concern in the space that we’re in, which is cellular IoT, is that we are piggy-backing frankly on the systems that are in place for cellular communications for smartphone users. When you look at it from that perspective, because it does help us with the cost of deployment, and it does help us with the ability to deploy data in markets and coverage, which you wouldn’t otherwise get is that technology evolves, and you’ve seen transitions and sunsets in these cellular technologies that will continue to hamper the growth of the future. So, I am particularly both concerned about the next sunset if you will, we’ve had a 2G sunset in the US, a 3G that is imminent, well when will the 4G sunset happen, because we’ve all heard the hype about 5G. I hope it’s 10, 15, or more years away, and ideally never, but that’s a tough requirement.
The real key point is, can we make sure that the usage of that available technology matches the lifecycle of the products that need to use that technology? Can we find alternative data transports, particularly in areas where the cellular IoT systems cannot possibly go, like in the middle of the ocean, or deepest darkest Africa, where they may not have cellular because there are no people living there etc., can we provide services?
So, I’m actually looking forward to some of these next generation, lower-orbit IoT satellite systems that are coming up with the technology using nanosats,
That’s exciting. What keeps you up at night? I think security is certainly on everybody’s mind, I’d love to get your sense of what some of your concerns are.
You hit the nail on the head, security is the one big thing that keeps me up awake at night. We have seen financial security problems, we have seen
I feel like I coined this phrase, ‘Security by design’, about 8 or 9 years ago, but it has taken off in the industry which I think is fantastic. We need to think about security as a part of the development process, as a part of the deployment process, as a part of the management process, not as an after-thought. Far too many people think of security as something we can tack on at the end, or we can check for at the end, and we can make changes at the end, it is just not practical or realistic to expect that, from two perspectives; 1) You will miss something, 2) Even if you have a very good solution today, the security problems evolve, leakages happen, new state actors can come in and cause problems, we have to plan for
Yes, no doubt. You mentioned low orbit satellites, which is interesting, but are there any interesting technologies or start-ups that you’re keeping your eye on?
I must admit that I have not done that extensively, we like to help start-ups get going. I have personally taken on a couple of small companies, not necessarily financially, but helping them understand how IoT can help them. One example was that blood sugar monitor that I talked about, simply because I feel there’s some benefit to those kinds of applications, particularly in the healthcare industry, but I haven’t really spent any time looking at that. I think companies that are at the forefront of deploying security solutions and looking at ways of managing data, to convert that data into actionable information is probably a good place to
The last thing I always like to ask our podcast
That’s a very good question, let me phrase it with a little bit of context for my answer. I am a science fiction buff, I have a large number of science fiction books in my personal portfolio, well over 6,000 science fiction books. It’s a little insane but that’s what I do! I tend to like an author and then buy every one of the books he or she has printed/published, read through them and try to interact with the author. My favorite author in the science fiction world of all time is Jack Chalker,
My current author that I’m excited about, and I’ve been reading everything he publishes, is David Webber, his books tend to be space operas, but I enjoy space operas, so why not? His premier series of books about a captain of a fleet, first of a spaceship and then eventually of a fleet, the Honour Series, if you will. That would be something I would highly recommend.
So, those two authors and those two series of books.
Those are great recommendations. I love the answers we get when I ask that question.
It’s been insightful information, and
Thank you, Ed., I really enjoyed it, I love talking about IoT, and I love talking about science fiction, so both of those topics came up!
Maybe we’ll have to do a follow-up with a bit of a deeper dive. With a collection like yours, I think that’s the biggest collection of anyone I’ve heard of, I bet you can provide an enormous amount of insight there. So, thanks very much.
Thank you.